PAC Statistical Model Checking for Markov Decision Processes and Stochastic Games
Authors | |
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Year of publication | 2019 |
Type | Article in Proceedings |
Conference | Computer Aided Verification (CAV 2019) |
MU Faculty or unit | |
Citation | |
Doi | http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-25540-4_29 |
Keywords | PAC; Statistical Model Checking; Markov Decision Processes; Stochastic Games |
Description | Statistical model checking (SMC) is a technique for analysis of probabilistic systems that may be (partially) unknown. We present an SMC algorithm for (unbounded) reachability yielding probably approximately correct (PAC) guarantees on the results. We consider both the setting (i) with no knowledge of the transition function (with the only quantity required a bound on the minimum transition probability) and (ii) with knowledge of the topology of the underlying graph. On the one hand, it is the first algorithm for stochastic games. On the other hand, it is the first practical algorithm even for Markov decision processes. Compared to previous approaches where PAC guarantees require running times longer than the age of universe even for systems with a handful of states, our algorithm often yields reasonably precise results within minutes, not requiring the knowledge of mixing time. |
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