Volebná účasť na Slovensku v roku 2020 z pohľadu geografie - zmena alebo stabilita?
| Title in English | Voter turnout in Slovakia in 2020 from geographic view - change or stability? |
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| Authors | |
| Year of publication | 2020 |
| Type | Article in Periodical |
| Magazine / Source | Acta Geographica Universitatis Comenianae |
| MU Faculty or unit | |
| Citation | |
| Web | http://www.actageographica.sk/stiahnutie/64_2_03_Kevicky.pdf |
| Keywords | voter turnout; electoral geography; Slovakia; parliamentary elections; spatial autocorrelation; regression analysis |
| Description | The parliamentary elections in Slovakia in 2020 were ground-breaking. For the first time since 2002, turnout was higher than 60 per cent. However, the question is whether the increase in turnout also caused a change in its spatial distribution or whether it is only a continuous development of turnout based on trends already observed in previous elections. The distribution of turnout in municipalities in 2012, 2016 and 2020 elections were analysed to answer this question. First, the spatial distribution of turnout was examined by the method of spatial autocorrelation, specifically was used local indicator of spatial association. Analysis of factors, which influenced turnout, was based on multiple regression analysis and the additional statistical analysis was used for examining the relationship between turnout and municipality size. Results of local indicator of spatial association have shown that clusters of municipalities with high voter turnout were on northwestern Slovakia. Clusters of municipalities with low voter turnout were nearby borders with Hungary and Ukraine. The results of regression models have shown that the proportion of university graduates, the net migration rate, or the proportion of Roman Catholics in the municipality had a positive contribution on turnout in all analysed elections. And the share of Roma and Hungarian population in municipalities has been negatively influencing the voter turnout. The last analysis examined the relationship between voter turnout and the size of the municipality. Results have shown that the highest average voter turnout was in the smallest municipalities and the largest cities. For the first time was average turnout in the largest cities higher than in the smallest municipalities in parliamentary elections in 2020. Based on these findings it can be said that the parliamentary elections in 2020 were, in terms of the spatial distribution of voter turnout, a continuation of the established trends from the previous parliamentary elections. |
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